Raila Beats Ruto With a Margin in Latest IPSOS Poll

Azimio La Umoja presidential candidate Raila Odinga (left) his UDA counterpart DP William Ruto at Uhuru Gardens and Makueni County respectively.
Azimio La Umoja presidential candidate Raila Odinga (left) his UDA counterpart DP William Ruto at Uhuru Gardens and Makueni County respectively.
Raila Odinga/DPPS

Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga has edged out Deputy President William Ruto in the latest polls released by IPSOS.

Raila's popularity stood at 47 per cent while Ruto's was at 41 per cent, 6 days to the hotly contested August 9 polls.

Root's party leader George Wajackoyah had 2.9 per cent while David Mwaure of Agano party has 0.2 per cent.

George Wajackoyah arrives at CUEA for the Presidential debate
George Wajackoyah arrives at CUEA for the Presidential debate on Tuesday, July 26, 2022.
Kenyans.co.ke

Raila's popularity was credited to his legacy, however, it was noted that his age was identified as a liability.

"In terms of liability, those who will not vote for Raila stated that they will not vote for him because of the age factor.

"Those who will vote for Ruto stated they supported him because they believe he has a plan. Nonetheless, those who will not vote for him indicate that they have an issue with his integrity," IPSOS stated.

Most importantly, it was noted that the Azimio la Umoja presidential candidate enjoyed a majority of support of Kenyans living in urban areas. His support among urbanites was put at 51 per cent. 

Ruto on the other hand enjoyed the support of Kenyans in rural areas with his support standing at 45 per cent.

In the gender category, Raila enjoys support among men while the UDA presidential candidate was popular among female voters.

Additionally, some of the regions where Ruto edged out Raila include the Rift Valley region and the vote-rich Mount Kenya region where he enjoys the support of 66 per cent.

The Azimio la Umoja candidate, on the contrary, shares support in the Coast region, Nyanza and Western region.

While addressing Mwaure's and Wajackoyah's numbers, IPSOS stated that Mwaure was unknown to voters hence his dismal performance.

Among the factors that contributed to Mwaure's and Wajacoyah's low numbers include their manifesto and popularity among the electorate.

"The issue with Mwaure is that he is not known. On the other hand, the majority of those who will not vote for Wajackoyah indicated that they have an issue with his marijuana agenda," IPSOS explained.

Agano presidential candidate David Mwaure and running mate Ruth Mutua in a previous press briefing
Agano presidential candidate David Mwaure and running mate Ruth Mutua in a press briefing on June 30, 2022.
Agano Party