An American-based Professor has revealed that National Super Alliance (NASA) leader Raila Odinga also benefited from the election fraud detected in the August General election.
University of Michigan Professor Walter Mebane, a specialist in the forensic analysis of elections around the world, pointed this out after looking at the Kenyan election data.
In his report, Anomalies and Frauds in the Kenya 2017 Presidential Election, Prof Mebane noted that every indicator of anomalies in the presidential results was triggered for the votes of both Mr Kenyatta and Mr Odinga.
Mebane analysed data from 40,818 polling stations which he scraped from the IEBC website and matched with the Kenya Gazette. He found warning signs on the numbers for both Uhuru (Jubilee Party) and Raila (NASA).
"The excesses in votes for the presidential candidates was also as a result of poor coordination among agents manipulating votes," he noted.
"The most problematic counties were Kisumu, Migori, Tana River, Nyandarua and Lamu," Prof Mebane noted
Initially, Mebane and his team had indicated that there was widespread manipulation of the August election.
"Election forensics analysis suggest that frauds may have been widespread throughout Kenya in the August 8 presidential election, but that the magnitude of frauds was small. Only a few per cent of votes, at most, are likely to have been produced by frauds," he wrote.
"It was unlike any data set I had ever seen," he said. "Every single indicator came up signalling anomalies. Its a huge red flag that something weird is going on."
Prof Mebane further indicated that he used two statistical models in his analysis and detected "anomalies" affecting a total of 548,352 of the roughly 15 million votes counted in the presidential election.
These possible indicators of fraud were present at polling stations throughout the country, Prof Mebane said in interviews with the Nation.
"There was no sign of manipulation in voter turnout numbers. But the vote counts look anomalous on every basis we used", he said
