Political analyst Herman Manyora opined that Deputy President William Ruto would withdraw his presidential bid in the 2022 general election if he stands to have a future political career.
Speaking on his YouTube channel, the analyst detailed that Ruto's recent actions showed that he did not have the requisite numbers, comparing him to a soldier in his last gasp effort to go down with a fight.
Manyora also castigated Ruto's recent response on President Uhuru Kenyatta reportedly backing a candidate from the National Super Alliance (NASA) regime.An undated file image of Deputy President William RutoFile
"For Ruto to react in that manner for all intents and purposes, which were rumours, is a clear indication of a man who knows he has lost it all and is giving up to save his troops.
"If he insists to go through the wire in 2022, there are going to be many casualties, especially politicians from Mt Kenya," he stated.
He gave examples of politicians such as Kikuyu MP Kimani Ichungwa and his counterparts, Ndindi Nyoro (Kiharu), Alice Wahome (Kandara) and Rigathi Gachagua (Mathira) who would bear the brunt of it all.
Further, the analyst deconstructed Ruto's political tactics, noting that his downfall would be attributed to his reliance on the Mt Kenya region.
He added that the DP ought to seek the region's votes as a bonus and focus on consolidating other votes from other counties.
According to Manyora, there are three scenarios that would play out in the 2022 General elections, none of which favoured the DP.
The first scenario involved the subdivision of Mt Kenya votes to various aspirants. He added that the number of votes that Ruto would get wouldn't make a difference.
The second scenario involved the region not presenting a candidate. He affirmed that in this case, Uhuru would have a majority say in where the votes would lie.
The final scenario would be where the region would unite and rally around one person.
He also opined that businessman Jimmy Wanjigi would be a top contender if he was backed by the Mt Kenya region.
"Jimmy Wanjigi will be facing ODM party leader Raila Odinga and I can assure it will be a battle that will not produce an outright winner. There's going to be a runoff and in that case, Kenyans will decide," Manyora stated.
The 2022 political race is slated to shape the country's future with various leaders declaring their aspirations to succeed Uhuru.
Currently, Ruto, Machakos Governor Alfred Mutua, former UNCTAD secretary-general Mukhisa Kituyi have thrown their hat in the ring. Raila is yet to declare his 2022 aspirations.Raila Odinga addressing the National Governing Council on March 1, 2019.
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