4 Possible Outcomes After Raila's Move to Quit Presidential Race

  • National Super Alliance (NASA) leader Raila Odinga on Tuesday announced that he had withdrawn his candidature in the repeat presidential election.

    Making the announcement, Odinga explained that his withdrawal was the only way the country would have a free, fair and credible election.

    Read More: Raila Withdraws From October 26 Presidential Election

    Accomplished political analysts and lawyers have since drawn out four possible outcomes from the historic announcement.

    [caption caption="NASA leader Raila Odinga"][/caption]

    In the first possible scenario, the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) could announce President Uhuru Kenyatta as the sole candidate in the repeat poll.

    Should this be the case, then IEBC Chairman Wafula Chebukati will be at liberty to announce President Kenyatta as the winner, unopposed.

    Second, the Opposition or any other disgruntled party could move to the Supreme Court and challenge the declaration of President Kenyatta as the sole candidate or even his resultant win.

    The Supreme Court, in turn, could call for a fresh poll or rule as it deems fit.

    Scenario three would entail the Supreme Court allowing Thirdway Alliance Party candidate Ekuru Aukot to be included on the ballot paper and participate in the October 26 poll.

    Mr Aukot has been in court challenging IEBC's decision to block all other candidates from the presidential election.

    Read More: IEBC Locks Presidential Candidate Out of Private Meeting

    Lastly, the IEBC could decide to stick to the plan in motion and conduct the October 26 election as scheduled.

    Other than it being an expensive affair that will end in President Kenyatta being declared winner, the IEBC will have taken a constitutional directive.

    [caption caption="IEBC Chairman Wafula Chebukati accompanied by other IEBC officials"][/caption]

    The final decision on the way forward seems to lay squarely with the IEBC.

    Read More: IEBC Reacts After Raila Withdraws From Presidential Election